Probability drills

Imagine you have a hat
Let's build some intuition about the probabilities that result from your disaster mandate, and the historical information.
Imagine you have a hat, and several markers.
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Some of the markers are red, and represent disaster action years
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Some of the markers are blue, and represent non-action years
You will be drawing from a hat to simulate disaster action.
You are allowed to put 5 markers in the to represent the probabilities of action.
Prepare yourself, and then fill out the form below